Itâs that time of year again; Oscar season is almost over. With the show, hosted this year by Chris Rock, coming Feb. 28, the Academy recently announced its nominees for the 88th annual show. As always, there were a lot of surprises. Without getting into the controversy surrounding the nominations, letâs focus on the nominees themselves.
âSpotlightâ has been the early favorite in the race leading up to the nominations, and it could still easily be considered the front-runner. It won the Screen Actorâs Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture and with a surprise nomination for Mark Ruffalo (most felt the votes would be split between him and Michael Keaton), it shows that the Academy still has admiration for it.
However, âThe Revenant,â âThe Big Shortâ and the massively critically-acclaimed blockbuster âMad Max: Fury Roadâ are all eyeing for victory as well. Alejandro G. Innarituâs âThe Revenantâ is leading the pack of nominations with 12 and âMad Maxâ is close behind with 10. A nomination for director George Miller gives âMad Maxâ an unexpected edge as well, especially considering Innaritu, also nominated, just won last year.
âThe Revenantâ and Innaritu won the award for Best Picture-Drama and Director at the Golden Globes. The Directorâs Guild Awards will be a huge factor in who wins Best Director and what has an edge in Best Picture. âThe Big Shortâ won the Producerâs Guild Award, which gives it an unexpected boost in the race for Best picture.
In the end, it will most likely come down to a race between âSpotlightâ and âThe Revenant,â with Miller taking home Best Director for âMad Max: Fury Road.â âThe Big Shortâ doesnât quite have the pull that a Best Picture win would take.
As for the acting categories, most, if not all, are a lock: Leonardo DiCaprio for âThe Revenant,â Brie Larson for âRoomâ and Sylvester Stallone for his supporting performance in âCreed.â Idris Elba won the SAG for best supporting actor, but he isnât nominated for the Oscar, which leaves Stallone still the front runner. If any of these actors donât win, it will be a huge upset.
The only acting category that is still up in the air (but not really) is supporting actress. The best bet is Alicia Vikander, who won the SAG. Her closest competition is Rooney Mara who has gotten a lot of attention for âCarolâ (which was unexpectedly snubbed for Best Picture which may ruin her chances) and Kate Winslet, who won the Globe for âSteve Jobs.â The lack of love for that film by the Academy, though (and the lack of commercial success), will probably leave Winslet without an award come Oscar night. Aaron Sorkin wasnât even nominated for his screenplay, which seemed like a sure thing. He won the Globe and was nominated for the Writerâs Guild Award.
Also, when taking into consideration that Winslet won the Globe when Vikander wasnât nominated (she was nominated in the leading actress category, whereas sheâs nominated in supporting at the Oscars), it makes Vikanderâs Oscar win more of a reality. Not to say that the Globes are a solid indication of who would win Oscar Sunday (theyâre not usually), but the odds seem to be in Vikanderâs favor.
As for the aforementioned screenplay nominations, with Sorkin out, itâs up in the air who will win for Best Adapted Screenplay. The nominees are âRoom,â âThe Martian,â âCarol,â âThe Big Shortâ and âBrooklyn.â Without a Best Picture nomination, a win for âCarolâ seems unlikely, as does a win for the more effects-driven âThe Martian,â leaving the other three to battle it out.
That leaves Original Screenplay, which, if weâre deciding that âSpotlightâ is a front runner for Best Picture, leaves that to be the front runner for Screenplay.
Return here to the Oswegonian for the issue before Oscar Sunday on Feb. 28 with predictions of winners from the Laker Review staff. Until then, happy Oscar season.





